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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ
The Complete updated Surf Report and Local Forecast for New Jersey
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NJ SURF REPORT
FRIDAY 11 OCTOBER 2024
SURF ALERT
Fun, user-friendly but powerful E/ESE groundswell with light to moderate, locally offshore wind. Good to excellent form at most/all spots.
NOTE: Radical tide swings will limit your window of surfability
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: Surf is deceptively powerful
WATER TEMP ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ALERT: Coastal flooding at flood-prone areas at high tide
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS!
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click here for details
LATER TODAY
Onshore/Poor
Solid 3-5ft E/ENE combo swell. Poor, stormy conditions continue as strong onshore winds continue for the rest of the day and overnight.
NOTE: Poor, stormy conditions continue. Again, some of the south-facing spots in Southern NJ will see smaller but cleaner conditions.
CONDITIONS ALERT:
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THESE ARE LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS.
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Strong rip and littoral currents and sustained onshore wind have
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created unpredictable, dangerous conditions, particularly for inexperienced surfers.
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DO NOT MAKE YOUR POOR DECISIONS SOMEONE ELSE'S PROBLEM.
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WHEN IN DOUBT DON'T PADDLE OUT
WATER TEMP ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: Sustained onshore wind
FLOODING ALERT: Coastal flooding at flood-prone areas at high tide, reinforced by storm surge. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS!
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click here for details
WATER TEMP ADVISORY: N/A*
Wetsuit: *Keep a spring or a light fullsuit handy
Support your local surf shop
FORECAST OVERVIEW
Mid to Late Week
SURF ALERT, but...
This week continues to be really tricky. With a largely stationary storm camped perfectly in our swell window, NJ has seen plenty of solid surf for the past several days but the issue remains the bloody onshore wind.
With back to back frontal systems slated to cross over our region, it's looking like
we're gonna be dealing with these pain-in-the-ass winds for the next several days. However, I am watching Friday for a window of surfability, particularly for the south facing spots in Southern NJ.
THE GOOD NEWS: With minimal tide swings this week, so whenever the damn
wind decides to cooperate, at least you won't have to worry about the ridiculous
high and low tides we experienced last week.
FORECASTERS NOTE: This will be a good week to check out those weird, wind-protected novelty waves that NJ is notorious for.
CONDITIONS ALERT: This entire week will see solid surf and onshore wind, and dangerous conditions for inexperienced surfers.
Please don't make your bad decisions affect others.
When in doubt, DON'T paddle out.
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click here for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
Weekend-Early Next Week
SURF ALERT, but...
There will be plenty of surf this weekend and with any luck, we may see a possible yet brief break with the strong onshores. While I don't expect them to turn offshore, they may lighten a bit, allowing the surf to clean up, at least in the early morning.
Let's keep our fingers crossed.
Check out the Long Range Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click here for details
X-FACTORS
Normally in September we're balls-deep in amazing, tell-your-boss-to-f**K-off surf. But right now the Jet Stream has largely been the culprit for dragging these systems over our region for the past week or so, hence the relentless onshores. But we're due for a change in the pattern soon. Sadly, this pattern is actually not uncommon for this time of year (it happened in 2023 as well), and while it's still a pain in the ass, it due to change soon.
Check the 72 Hour Forecast below for details.
TROPICAL UPDATE
Tracking two significant systems, including the newly developed Tropical Storm Helene for track and development.
Check out the Tropical Update below for the full update
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Solid surf this week. Watching Thursday
and Friday.
WEDNESDAY 25 SEPTEMBER 2024
Onshore/Poor*
3-5ft+ E combo swell. Strong, sustained E wind. Poor, stormy conditions at most spots. Strong surf with unpredictable conditions, strong, sweeping current.
NOTE: Some of the south-facing spots in Southern NJ may see smaller but somewhat cleaner surf.
CONDITIONS ALERT: Potentially life-threatening conditions, especially for inexperienced surfers.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Chest-shoulder high+ E combo swell. Sustained onshore (E) wind. Poor, stormy conditions.
NOTE: Larger (but still poor) surf in at select east-facing spots.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Chest-head high+ E combo swell. Sustained onshore (E) wind. Poor, stormy conditions.
NOTE: Nope
South-facing spots: Waist-chest high+ E combo swell. Sustained sideshore (E) wind. Fair-poor form
NOTE: Strong littoral current creates a sweeping down-current drift
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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24 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
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SWELL 3-5ft+ E groundswell and E/ESE windswell mix
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WIND Strong, sustained E wind, may turn ESE by midday
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TIDE Minimal tide swings increase your window of surfability
Check your Local Tide Chart for details
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WEATHER ADVISORY Strong onshore wind. Evening showers possible.
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CONDITIONS ALERT Larger surf and strong currents. Increased onshores create potentially LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS for inexperienced surfers. When in doubt, DON'T paddle out.
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CROWD ADVISORY N/A
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BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
THURSDAY 26 SEPTEMBER 2024
SURF ALERT?*
2-4ft+ E/ESE combo swell. Light to moderate S/SE wind early. Wind could swing off shore at some locations by late morning*.
*NOTE: Wind models are not in agreement after 11am. Stay tuned.
ADVISORY: Strong surf with strong littoral & rip currents.
(*See SWELL EVENT NOTES for details)
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Waist-shoulder high+ ESE combo swell. Light to
moderate sideshore wind with fair-poor form early. *Watching for potentially improving conditions by midday as wind swings offshore (SW then WSW) at some locations, particularly further north
NOTE: Larger (but still poor) surf in Southern Ocean County as wind remains south.
NOTE: Find a spot with protection from the southerlies
*NOTE: Wind may swing SW then WSW at some locations, particularly further
north. Stay tuned.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Waist-head high+ ESE combo swell with sustained sideshore (S/SE) wind. Fair-poor form.
NOTE: Find a spot with protection from the southerlies
South-facing spots: Waist-chest high+ ESE windswell. Sustained onshore (S/SE) wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Nope
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
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SWELL 2-4ft+ ESE groundswell and short-period SE windswell mix
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WIND Light to moderate S/SE wind early. *Some locations further north may see the wind switch from S to SW then WSW by midday, but none of the models are in agreement at this moment. Stay tuned.
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TIDE Minimal tide swings widen your window of surfability
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
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WEATHER ADVISORY *Watch your local wind forecast
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CONDITIONS ADVISORY Strong surf with strong littoral and rip currents will create drifty conditions. When in doubt, DON'T paddle out.
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CROWD ADVISORY Moderate crowds expected, especially at spots with good protection from the southerly wind
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BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Shortboard, Fish or Performance Midlength
FRIDAY 27 SEPTEMBER 2024
SURF ALERT?*
3ft ESE/SE combo swell with *light and variable wind early. *Wind expected to turn
onshore and increase by late morning/early arvo so form deteriorates after the wind switch.
*NOTE: Wind forecast is currently inconclusive. Stay tuned.
ADVISORY: Strong surf with strong littoral & rip currents.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Waist-chest high+ ESE/SE combo swell. *Light and
variable wind with fair-good form early. *Wind becomes an issue by midday.
NOTE: Larger surf in Southern Ocean County
*NOTE: Wind forecast currently inconclusive. Stay tuned.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Waist-shoulder high+ ESE/SE combo swell. *Light & variable wind with fair-good form early. *Wind becomes an issue by midday.
*NOTE: Wind forecast currently inconclusive. Stay tuned.
South-facing spots: Waist high+ ESE/SE combo swell. *Light offshore (N or NNE) wind with good form early. *Wind becomes an issue by midday.
NOTE: Best option
*NOTE: Wind forecast currently inconclusive. Stay tuned.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
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SWELL 2-3ft+ ESE groundswell and short-period SE windswell mix
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WIND *Light and variable wind early, but expeted to turn onshore by midday*NOTE: Wind forecast currently inconclusive. Stay tuned.
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TIDE Minimal tide swings widen your window of surfability. Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
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WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind data
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CONDITIONS ADVISORY Strong surf with strong littoral and rip current
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CROWD ADVISORY Expect additional crowds, especially at premiere spots
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BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Shortboard, Fish, Performance Midlength
WEEKEND
SURF ALERT?
Plenty of surf this weekend. Schizophrenic wind forecast. Stay tuned.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
Plenty of surf but when will the damned wind cooperate?
28-30 September 2024 (and beyond)
SURF ALERT
Raise your hand if you're sick of onshore wind and crap surf. (Put your hand down, you look stupid).
Trust me, you're not alone. This week has had more than its share of challenges as the proximity of the storm just offshore keeps pounding our region with plenty of surf but the never-ending ENE or NE wind, and now with back to back frontal systems crossing our region later this week, it's looking like we're in for another long-duration spell of onshores.
But there's good news: with high pressure strengthening in the West (and moving east) and these pesky systems moving into the Atlantic, NJ should see a pretty lengthy run of (hopefully) clean, fun surf with cooperative winds.
THE X FACTOR: With Tropical Storm, soon to be Hurricane Helene making her way through the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and onto the US Mainland early next week,
this storm is bound to attract any cells of low pressure into it as it moves closer to
US East Coast. This makes our predicating the wind into next week damn-near impossible. Stay tuned.
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
This pattern has to change. It's Fall, dammit.
But seriously, let's hope the back half of the 2024 Hurricane Season is more productive because, so far, it's been a dud but it's starting to turn around.
Check out the TROPICAL UPDATE below for the deets.
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Watching two systems, including soon to be
Hurricane Helene
It's about
bloody time
It's supposed to be the peak of hurricane season yet you wouldn't know it by this most recent run of dormancy. The 2024 Hurricane Season started out strong but fizzled like a box a wet sparklers by late August and September was a dud.
Well, the Tropics have apparently woken up... again.
See below for details
FORECASTERS NOTES
Gordon is dead. Like dead-dead. (Not pictured)
Tropical Storm (and soon to be Hurricane) Helene is tracking past the northwest corner of Cuba as a tropical storm but expected to strengthen to
a hurricane by early Wednesday morning, then expected to develop into a
MAJOR hurricane on Thursday morning before slamming into the Florida
panhandle on Thursday night. This storm will inevitably weaken into a
tropical depression as it tracks NNW on Thursday, then continuing to weaken
on Friday. Telemetry beyond Friday is spotty and although this system will
eventually move east toward the US East Coast, I don't expect it to be more
than a nuisance as it moves over our region by late weekend or early next week.
(See image for details)
Tropical Wave just off the Cabo Verde Islands is tracking WNW at 8-10 knots and has been given an 80% chance of development over the next 7 days. This
is a good sign because prior systems in that particular area of the Atlantic Basin struggled because of the previously hostile environment. This gives me hope for this and future systems moving off the African Coast. (See image for details).
2024 HURRICANE SEASON SUMMARY
NOAA has issued its most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record for 2024 so we are keeping our eyes open as these variables continue to evolve.
Check out the complete breakdown below:
23 named storms. 11 hurricanes. 5 major hurricanes.
RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island) OFFLINE
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ)
44066 (Western Atlantic) OFFLINE
Weather
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources