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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ
The Complete updated Surf Report and Local Forecast for New Jersey
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NJ SURF REPORT
TUESDAY 7 OCTOBER 2025
Morning
Poor
1-2ft+ SE/ESE groundswell and ENE windswell mix. Moderate-strong NE/NNE wind. Tiny, poor or flat surf.
NOTE: Radical tide swings limit any potential for surfability this week
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: Swell builds but remains poor
WATER TEMP: 67-68 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: Strong NE wind
FLOODING ADVISORY: Coastal flooding at high tide at flood-prone spots.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
ARVO-EVENING
Poor/Increasing
2-3ft+ ENE windswell and SE/ESE groundswell mix. Moderate NNE wind. Poor form at most spots. Some south-facing spots may see increased surfability.
NOTE: Radical tide swings limit any potential for surfability this week
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: Swell builds but remains poor
WATER TEMP: 68-69 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ADVISORY: Coastal flooding at high tide at flood-prone spots.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
WATER TEMP
Water temp: 67-68 degrees
ADVISORY: Water temps will vary, depending on location.
Wetsuit: 3/2 fullsuit
FORECAST OVERVIEW
Late Week-Weekend
Poor/Storm Alert
Small surf and mild weather through late week and into early Saturday. Yet a developing storm will move north along the East Coast over the next few days,
and this impacts our region with strong onshore wind and a rapidly building swell
starting midday Saturday and continues through Sunday and into next week.
IMPORTANT NOTE: A Storm Alert and Flood Advisory has been issued for this
upcoming weekend. New swell from soon-to-be Hurricane Jerry will also begin to fill in late Sunday and swell heights could reach 12-14ft by midday Sunday.
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
Next Week
Poor/Storm Alert
Strong Nor'easter continues into early next week yet conditions could start to clean
up as the system moves out to sea. Swell from Jerry continues.
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
TROPICAL UPDATE
Tropical Storm Jerry is forecast to reach hurricane strength on Friday.
Check out the Tropical Update below
X-FACTORS
Six months ago, the Army Corps of Engineers completed overlapping beach replenishment projects in three NJ counties. The excess sand from these projects
inevitably drifted north with the natural littoral current, disrupting the bathymetry
of nearby surf breaks by creating long, parallel sandbars just offshore that stretch
for miles.
Why is this relevant?
Simply stated, there's too much sand in the system and as this sand continues to
drift and settle, many surf breaks have been choked out. Some breaks became dumpy closeouts while others stopped breaking altogether. This is especially true at many breaks in Monmouth and parts of Ocean County.
To make matters worse, unseasonal nor'easters in July and long-period E swells in August pushed even more sand into these spots, either further limiting their surfability or making them completely unsurfable.
The Good News
Consistent SE swell (common for this time of year) and stronger littoral current will help push out the sand and distribute it, while the corresponding rip currents will
help break up the parallel sandbars that have been creating the nasty closeouts. However, it will take some time and a shift in the current pattern.
FORECASTERS NOTES
IMPORTANT FORECAST INFORMATION
It has been our mission to create the best surf report and forecast for NJ.
Thanks for your continued support.
-Robbie Nelson,
Eyeball Surf Report Forecaster
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Strong Nor'easter brings large, messy surf this weekend
FRIDAY 10 OCTOBER 2025
Poor
1-2ft+ SE/ENE windswell. Light to moderate onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: N/A
ADVISORY: High tide brings coastal flooding at flood prone locations.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Increasing onshore wind.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 1-2ft+ SE/ENE windswell. Onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: See above and below for details and advisories.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 1-2ft+ SE/ENE windswell. Onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: See above and below for details and advisories.
South-facing spots: 1-2ft+ SE/ENE windswell. Onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: See above and below for details and advisories.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
24 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1-2ft+ SE/ENE windswell
-
WIND Onshore wind (E early, then swings SE and increases)
-
TIDE Radical tide swings limit your window of surfability and create flooding
Check your Local Tide Chart for details
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Sustained onshore wind
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Wind and tide issues
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
SATURDAY 11 OCTOBER 2025
Poor/Increased
1-2ft short-period SE windswell. Light but increasing E wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Wind may be light so conditions may be surfable early, but form deteriorates
as onshores increase. Wind tide swings limit your window of surfability.
ADVISORY: Increased onshore wind. Swell builds through the day and overnight.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Rain likely later in the day
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Small surf, increasing onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Swell increases but remains poor.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Small surf, increasing onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Swell increases but remains poor.
South-facing spots: Small surf, increasing onshore wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Swell increases but remains poor.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1-2ft+ short-period SE windswell early. New ESE windswell and long-period SE groundswell gradually builds through the day and overnight.
-
WIND Light E wind early, gradually increases through the day
-
TIDE Wide tide swings limit your window of surfability. Coastal flooding likely.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Sustained onshore wind and rain
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Deteriorating conditions and increasing surf through the day.
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
SUNDAY 12 OCTOBER 2025
STORM ALERT
6-8ft E windswell and long-period SE/ESE groundswell mix. Strong, gusty NE/ENE wind. Rapidly increasing wind and surf and rain.
NOTE: Swell increases dramatically through the day
ADVISORY: Dangerous surf and conditions. Wave heights could reach 12-15ft.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Wind gusts could reach 50-60mph
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 6-15ft SE/ESE swell. Strong onshore wind.
NOTE: Poor, stormy and dangerous conditions
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 6-15ft SE/ESE swell. Strong onshore wind.
NOTE: Poor, stormy and dangerous conditions
South-facing spots: 6-15ft SE/ESE swell. Strong onshore wind.
NOTE: Poor, stormy and dangerous conditions
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 6-15ft+ E windswell and long-period SE/ESE groundswell mix
-
WIND Strong, gusty ENE/NE wind. Wind gusts could reach 40-50mph.
-
TIDE Wide tide swings remain problematic. Expect coastal flooding.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Strong, gusty onshore wind and rain
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Large and dangerous surf and conditions
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
NEXT WEEK
SURF ALERT
Sustained onshore wind early next week but conditions may clean up by midweek.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Solid surf from Nor'easter and Hurricane Jerry
13-17 October 2025
SURF ALERT
Large surf from the nor'easter and Hurricane Jerry peak over the weekend but continue through next week. Wind data currently inconclusive, but monitoring
the wind forecast closely.
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
Fall is a much more productive time for swell production. Stay tuned and get ready.
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Current Forecast
and Predictions
Current Forecast
Tropical Storm Jerry has made landfall in the Lesser Antilles, and expected to reach hurricane strength by mid tomorrow as it continues to move NNW over
the weekend and into early next week.
FORECASTERS NOTES
Both NOAA and the University of Colorado are predicting above-average
tropical activity for the 2025 Hurricane Season.
2025 HURRICANE SEASON PREDICTION
Check out the complete breakdown below:
13-19 named storms. 6-10 hurricanes. 3-5 major hurricanes.
RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ)
44066 (Western Atlantic) OFFLINE
Weather Maps
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources