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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ

The Complete updated Surf Report and Local Forecast for New Jersey
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NJ SURF REPORT
THURSDAY 29 OCTOBER 2026
DAWN - MIDDAY
Small/Fair
2ft+ ESE groundswell and SE/ESE windswell mix. Light SW wind this morning.
NOTE: Small, user-friendly surf. Wide tide swings from the recent Full Moon will make timing your sessions tricky. Wind expected to swing S by midday.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 58-62 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: Wind expected to turn S by midday
FLOODING ADVISORY: Flooding very likely at flood-prone areas at high tide.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
ARVO-EVENING
Fair-Poor
2ft+ ESE groundswell and SE/ESE windswell mix. Moderate, sustained S wind.
NOTE: Bumpy but potentially surfable after the wind switch. Wide tide swings make
timing your sessions tricky. Not a great day for surf.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 58-62 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind conditions
FLOODING ADVISORY: Expect flooding at flood-prone areas at high tide.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
WATER TEMP
Water temp: 58-62 degrees*
*ADVISORY: Water temps are colder further south
*Wetsuit: 3/2mm fullsuit. 3mm boots are recommended. 3mm gloves (optional).
FORECAST OVERVIEW
LATE WEEK - WEEKEND
Surf Alert
There will be two sources of swell this weekend:
1. A strengthening but fast-moving storm moves through the outskirts of our swell window on Saturday. This should produce a quick pulse of modest, longer period ESE groundswell that peaks on Sunday.
2. A cold front is expected to move off the coast that will bring northerly winds and
enhance the existing combo swell from the primary system. As this frontal system
moves further off the coast and high pressure moves in behind it on Sunday, local
winds should turn more locally offshore.
With wave heights in the waist high range and minimal tide swings, I would target this weekend for fun surf.
Check out the 72 Hour Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULEClick HERE for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
NEXT WEEK and WEEKEND
STORM ALERT
I am tracking a large storm that moves out of of the Pacific early next week, then track it's way across the US toward the US East Coast by late week.
While specifics regarding trajectory and timing are still speculative, NJ should
see strong onshore wind and gradually building surf through the end of the week.
SURF ALERT
If things go as predicted, NJ should see a solid swell event through the weekend
and potentially next week.
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
X-FACTORS
Here are some of the important factors
that affect our surf and forecast in NJ
VASTLY ALTERED SANDBARS and BEACHES
After the most recent storms, both the profile of NJ's coastline and the sandbars
just offshore have been dramatically impacted. Every beach and surf spot in NJ has drmatically changed. While some surf breaks were improved by additional or removed sand, others have either disappeared or were severely altered.
This is especially true for spots in Monmouth County where 75-80% of spots were eliminated or became unsurfable on most tide cycles. While some of these spots
may recover in a few weeks. Others may not and some may disappear completely.
For how long is unknown.
What happens from this point forward is also unknown. It really depends on the track of the storms that are inevitably coming. Right now there's a lot of uncertainty.
BEACH REPLENISHMENT
Those of us who have surfed long enough know the inevitable response to
the recent storms: Beach replenishment
Many towns already had a plan in place for additional beach replenishment but
after the recent devastating storms, every beach town is currently begging for
federal dollars (your tax dollars) for additional sand. This poorly planned, poorly executed process continues to destroy surf spots for months (or longer) as
that sand gets dumped on your favorite spot then spreads into the surrounding breaks. As usual, we will keep you updated as things progress.
THE NORTH PACIFIC CONTINUES TO BLOW UP
Historically, El Nino is synonomous for strong winter storms in the Pacific, and
with the jet stream loading up with these cells, it's just a matter of time for one
of these beasts to track east with the jet, work their way across the US Mainland
and park off our coast. This is a double-edged sword because, yes these storms
can produce fun and sometimes powerful surf, they are also notorious for ravaging coastlines and wreaking havoc.
TROPICAL UPDATE
The Tropics are uncharacteristically dormant once again.
Check out the Tropical Update below for details.

Fun, user-friendly surf this weekend
(timing and location are critial)


FRIDAY 30 OCTOBER 2026
Surf Alert, but*
Under Construction
*NOTE: Stay tuned
*ADVISORY: N/A
*WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
IMPORTANT INFO: Most surf spots will be drastically altered and beach
access will be limited or unavailable at many spots after the recent coastal storm.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 3-5ft+ ENE swell. Sideshore (N) wind early, turns onshore (NE) by midday.
NOTE: Poor surf.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 3-5ft+ ENE swell. Sideshore (N) wind early, turns onshore (NE) by midday.
NOTE: Poor condtions.
South-facing spots: 3ft+ ENE swell. Offshore (N) wind early, turns sideshore (NE) by midday.
NOTE: Fun early. Monitor your local wind after 10am. Definitely worth a look.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 3-5ft+ ENE groundswell and windswell mix.
NOTE: Solid leftovers early. Expect the groundswell to gradually drop.
-
WIND N/NNE wind early, turns NE by midday.
NOTE: Monitor your local wind after 10am
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings may limit your window of surfability at some spots.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Solid surf and strong littoral and rip currents
-
CROWD ADVISORY Expect crowds at south-facing spots
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Fish, Performance Midlength or Longboard
SATURDAY 31 OCTOBER 2026
Surf Alert, but*
Under Construction
*NOTE: Stay tuned
*ADVISORY: N/A
*WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
IMPORTANT INFO: Most surf spots are drastically altered and beach
access will be limited or inaccessible at many spots after the recent coastal storm.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 2-4ft+ ESE/ENE swell. Sideshore (N) wind early. Wind may turn locally onshore but should remain light.
NOTE: Fair surf. Monitor your local wind. Most likely better in Ocean County.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 2-4ft+ ESE/ENE swell with sideshore (N) wind early. Wind may turn locally onshore by midday. Fair form.
NOTE: Worth a look but keep your expectations in check. Monitor your local wind.
South-facing spots: 3ft+ ESE/ENE swell with offshore (N) wind and great form early. Monitor your local wind after 10am.
NOTE: Current favorite. This will be your best bet. Expect crowds everywhere.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL Overlapping 2-4ft+ ENE/ESE combo swell
NOTE: Swell may see some reinforcement in the late arvo or early evening
-
WIND See above for details
NOTE: Monitor your local wind direction.
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings will increase your window of surfability
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Solid surf. Strong littoral and rip currents.
-
CROWD ADVISORY Expect crowds at premiere spots
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Shortboard, Fish or Performance Midlength
SUNDAY 1 NOVEMBER 2026
Surf Alert, but*
Under Construction
.Definitely a day worth targeting.
*NOTE: Smaller but still super fun. Wind speeds and direction after 12pm are currently the topic of discussion so monitor your local wind. Another factor will be
the wide tide swings thanks to the upcoming full moon. Timing your sessions will
be essential.
ADVISORY: Sneaker sets and moderate to strong littoral and rip currents.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
IMPORTANT INFO: Most surf spots will be drastically altered and beach
access will be limited or unavailable at many spots after the recent coastal storm.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 2-3ft+ E swell. Offshore (W or NW) wind with good form early. Wind may turn locally onshore by midday.
NOTE: Super fun surf early. Monitor your local wind. Tides are a big factor.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 2-3ft+ E swell. Light sideshore/foffshore (N or NW) wind early
but may turn onshore by midday. Good form early. Could be fun later if the wind
stays light.
NOTE: Hit it early or watch your local wind data for later sessions. Tides are a big factor.
South-facing spots: 2-3ft+ E swell. Light offfshore (N) wind with excellent form early. Monitor your local wind after 12pm.
NOTE: Fun early. Monitor your local wind after lunch.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL Reinforced 2-3ft+ ENE groundswell and ESE windswell mix.
NOTE: Could be bigger than predicted, especially early.
-
WIND Variable wind.
NOTE: See above for details
-
TIDE Wide tide swings may limit your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Could be bigger than anticipated. Strong rip and
littoral currents. Could be dangerous at low tide.
-
CROWD ADVISORY Expect weekend crowds, especially at premiere spots
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Shortboard, Fish or Performance Midlength
NEXT WEEK
SURF ALERT
Fun pulse of surf very likely on Monday. Another swell event is in the cards as yet another system enters the Western Atlantic. Wind and specific swell data remain inclusive but worth shuffling your schedule around to get a few waves.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
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More swell
next week


27-30 October 2026
SURF ALERT
This upcoming week is setting up for another, potentially longer duration swell
event as another system is on track to enter the Western Atlantic by early to
mid next week. Details this far out are extremely spotty but I am pretty optimistic.
Will keep you updated as we get closer.
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
IT'S ON!
After the worst summer I've ever experienced, Summer can fuck off because the
switch has been thrown and the pattern has shifted toward a more productive
season of surf.
However, with the added activity (More storms = more surf) but because of the
strong El Nino, good conditions are not guaranteed because sometimes we
get TOO MUCH energy at once. I will keep you updated as things evolve. In the meantime, keep your fingers crossed for things to work in our favor.

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Josephine has formed near NJ


Tropical Update for
Frday 23 October 2026
1. Sub-tropical Storm Josephine formed off the NJ Coast yesterday,,,
...and promptly dipped its toe into the cooler waters off the North Atlantic
and downgraded to a post-subtropical system. That's not the end of the
world because it's proven to be a fantastic swell-maker, but it will continue
to track away from our window so any swell from it has already peaked.
Josephine was the 10th named storm in the 2026 Hurricane Season and
the only real swell-producing (sub) tropoical system to actually give us waves.
Strangely enough, we are mere weeks away from wrapping up this disappointing season so it's nice to have seen at least one solid swell from
the least productive hurricane season in over 100 years.
2. The secondary system behind Josephine never really had a chance so it
was done before it had a chance to strengthen. Such is the disappointing
2026 Hurricane Season.
THIS IS NOT NORMAL
The Tropics remain hostile to developing tropical storms and hurricanes and this is the first time in over 100 years that we have not seen a hurricane in our Main Development Region.
Here's a comparison of the past 6 years
2020 had 30 total named storms with 14 hurricanes and 7 major hurricanes.
2021 had 21 total named storms with 7 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.
2022 had 14 total named storms with 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
2023 had 20 total named storms with 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
2024 had 18 total named storms with 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes.
2025 had 13 total named storms with 5 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.
2026 has had 10 total named storms and Josephine was the only real swell-producer.
Once again, the odds are against all tropical development as the Atlantic
Basin remains hostile toward developing storms thanks to the strongest El
Nino in recorded history but any system is worth monitoring.

We are here


RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ) Incomplete data
44009 (Cape May) Currently offline
US Weather Maps
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources




