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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf Forecast for NJ and Long Island, NY
FRIDAY 20 MAY 2022
Arvo Update
Weak, short-period 1-3ft S/SSE windswell with light to moderate ESE wind and fair form now. Radical tide swings will limit surfability at most spots. Wind forecast to turn SE and increase by mid arvo so expect form to deteriorate at most spots.
NOTE NJ surfers should find a longer, east-facing jetty on the lower tide for best conditions but bring a longer board.
TIDE ADVISORY
Radical tide swings from the recent full moon (16 May) will limit surfability
Check your local tide chart for details
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
Scattered thunderstorms very likely this evening
Some of these storms could be very intense
Tornado advisory has also been issued by the NWS
Use caution
REGIONAL SURF REPORT
Knee to waist high S windswell with onshore (ESE) wind with fair form on the lower tide but wind turns SE and increase. For best results find a longer, east-facing jetty for wind protection but bring a longboard or midlength.
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
Atlantic and Cape May County
East Facing: Knee to waist high S windswell with onshore (ESE) wind with fair form on the lower tide but wind turns SE and increase. For best results find a spot with decent protection from the southerly winds but bring a longboard or midlength.
South Facing: Sloppy knee to thigh high short-period S windswell with onshore (ESE) wind and poor form.
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
Queens-Nassau County
Sloppy knee to thigh high short-period S windswell with onshore (ESE) wind and poor form.
Suffolk County
Waist high+ short-period S windswell with light onshore (ESE) wind. Fair form.
Later Today SE windswell maintains but wind turns SE and increases to 10-15mph by mid arvo. Most spots will see deteriorating conditions.
NOTE for NJ SURFERS Find a longer, E-facing jetty for the evening session.
Overnight Sustained, moderate S wind tonight helps maintain the existing S windswell but should turn SW/WSW just before dawn on Saturday morning.
FORECAST Surf Alert
Weekend Update
1-3ft S/ESE combo swell lingers on Saturday and Sunday but hit it early before the seasonal southerly winds increase by late morning. Air temps hit mid to upper 70's.
Check out the 72 Hour Surf Forecast below for details
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST Surf Alert, but...
Small S windswell lingers through the week but watch your local wind forecast.
Check out the Long Range Forecast below for details.
Water Temp Update 52-55 degrees F. A minimum of a 3/2 ffull suit and 3mm boots and gloves is recommended.
TROPICAL UPDATE
The countdown has begun for the 2022 Hurricane Season (starts 1 June)
Check out the Tropical Update below for the updated predictions
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Sustained S windswell and new ESE groundswell fills in over the weekend
FRIDAY 20 MAY 2022
Surf Alert*
Sustained 1-3ft short-period S/SSE windswell with ESE wind. Fair form. Tides will be an issue. Wind turns SE and increases, so form deteriorates at most spots.
NJ Thigh to waist high+ surf with onshore (ESE) wind. Wait for the tide to drop and find a longer, east-facing jetty for the best results but bring a bigger board.
NY Knee to waist high surf with light onshore/sideshore (ESE) wind. High tide has shut down most spots and the increased mid arvo onshore (SE) wind will make a mess of it.
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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SWELL 1-3ft short-period SE/SSE windswell. New, small ESE groundswell fills in tonight. Not much power but still fun.
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WIND 10-12mph ESE now, turns SE and increases slightly.
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TIDE Radical tides due to the recent full moon (Monday 16 May) so surf will be best on the low to mid tides or find a spot that handles the higher tide. Check your local tide chart for details.
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WEATHER ADVISORY Some Fog at south facing spots in NY and South NE
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
SATURDAY 21 MAY 2022
Surf Alert*
Lingering 1-3ft S/ESE** combo swell with light SW wind at dawn. Air temps hit 70+ degrees by mid morning. Another fun morning for logging, learning or for the kids but hit it early before the S wind and high tide shut it down by early to mid arvo.
**NOTE New ESE groundswell should add a foot or so more size as it fills in.
NJ Knee to waist high+ S/ESE combo swell with light offshore (SW or WSW) wind and incoming tide at dawn. Should remain fun through mid to late morning with the tide push. Increased SE wind and high tide will shut it down by early arvo but should be fun again in the mid to late arvo but find a spot with good S wind protection.
NY Knee to waist high+ S/ESE combo swell with light onshore/sideshore (SW or WSW) wind and fair form at dawn. Hit it before the onshores increase and form deteriorates by late morning.
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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SWELL 2ft+ SE windswell mixes with a new ESE groundswell that should add a foot or so of size as it fills in through the morning.
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WIND SW or WSW wind early then turns S or SE by 10 or 11am then gradually increases, but should remain light through late morning or early arvo. SE wind is expected to increase to 10-15mph by early to mid arvo and form will deteriorate at exposed spots. Overnight southerly winds continue to reinforce the existing S windswell.
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TIDE Radical tides due to the recent full moon (Monday 16 May) so surf will be best on the low to mid tides or find a spot that handles the higher tide. Check your local tide charts for details.
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WEATHER ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
SUNDAY 22 MAY 2022
Surf Alert*
Fun 1-3ft S/SE/ESE combo swell with light to moderate SW wind at dawn, so best at select spots in NJ. Air temps hit 80+ degrees by mid morning. Wind and tide become a factor by mid to late morning.
NJ Knee to waist high+ S/SE/ESE combo swell with light-moderate offshore (SW) wind and incoming tide at dawn. Moderate to strong sideshore/onshore (SE) and the incoming tide shuts it down by mid to late morning. Check the longer, east-facing jetties (wind protection) on the outgoing tide.
NY Knee to waist high+ S/SE/ESE combo swell with moderate onshore (SW) wind and poor form. Sustained onshores and poor conditions for the rest of the day.
Coaching Schedule Click here for details
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
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SWELL 2 to possibly 3ft S/SE/ESE combo swell
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WIND 10mph SW wind at dawn, turns SE and increases to 15mph by mid morning. Form deteriorates at exposed spots.
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TIDE Radical tides due to the recent full moon (Monday 16 May) so surf will be best on the low to mid tides or find a spot that handles the higher tide. Check your local tide charts for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
EARLY NEXT WEEK
Surf Alert, but...
Reinforced SE windswell next week but watching for windows of favorable wind.
Stay tuned.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
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UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
IMPORTANT NOTE
Long Range Forecasts are based on the data at hand but this information is constantly changing. Any forecast beyond 72 hours is based on the available information and is subject to change, so I will do my absolute best to update this forecast as the data changes.
SYNOPSIS
RIGHT NOW
(Small) Surf Alert
See the Current Atlantic Forecast Map here
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FORECAST
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
THE X-FACTOR
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
LATE WEEK
FRIDAY 20 MAY 2022
Surf Alert
24 hour Western Atlantic Forecast Map
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FORECAST
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
THE X-FACTOR
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
WEEKEND
SATURDAY 21 MAY 2022
Surf Alert
48 hour Western Atlantic Forecast Map
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FORECAST
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
THE X-FACTOR
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
SUNDAY 22 MAY 2022
Surf Alert
72 hour Western Atlantic Forecast Map
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FORECAST
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
THE X-FACTOR
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
MONDAY 23 MAY 2022
Stay Tuned
96 Hour Western Atlantic Forecast Map
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
FORECAST
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
THE X-FACTOR
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
SEASONAL NOTES
THE GOOD, BAD and the UGLY
Late Spring/Early Summer 2022
After months of strong, back to back storms moving out of the Pacific, across the US and into the Atlantic (and producing equally strong swell events) all of the storms that I am currently seeing in the Pacific and on the US Mainland are relatively weak and disorganized in comparison. This will result in equally weak swell events this weekend and into next week and unless this pattern changes, we could be in for a summer of dribbly, weak swell events. So be prepared to lower your expectations and plan to do a lot of longboarding and/or groveling.
THE X-FACTORS
The Bad News
NY BEACH CLOSURES
Many of the popular Rockaway Beach surf spots will be closed this Spring, Summer and into early Fall. Check out this LINK for details.
THE KOOK EGGS ARE HATCHING
The other factor to consider is that as the water warms up the lineups are gonna fill up with entry level surfers. Some of these new surfers are wary and respectful while others are clueless, entitled dangerous kooks, but you really can't tell them apart until they paddle out. My suggestion is to avoid the popular summer breaks or sit wide and watch the pandemonium from a safe distance.
The Good News
HURRICANE SEASON 2022
Hurricane Season starts on 1 June and the predictions are solid.
Check out the Tropical Update below for details.
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Fingers crossed for the
2022 Hurricane Season
THE 2022 HURRICANE SEASON
After back to back historic seasons, 2022 is setting up to be epic but let's hope for maximum swell potential and minimal damage. Check out this link for details
MAP DETAILS
N/A
IMPORTANT STUFF TO KNOW ABOUT THE TROPICS
*A tropical wave is a cluster of thunderstorms that crosses the African Continent, originating to the East in the Indian Ocean, and moves into the Atlantic Basin near the equator. Once this happens we watch it for potential development into a larger, more powerful storm like a tropical storm or hurricane.
**The Atlantic Basin is the cradle of tropical storms and hurricanes and is located at the Equator between West Africa, crosses the Cabo Verde Islands and stretches across to the northern tip of South America
Surf More
Surf Better
ProSurf Coaches has programs to get you ready for the bigger, better surf of the season. For more info check out our Coaching Options or call us at 858.472.1382.
RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Sandy Hook, NJ and Western Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ)
44066 (Western Atlantic) OFFLINE
Weather
Ocean Charts
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources