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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ
The Complete updated Surf Report and Local Forecast for New Jersey
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NJ SURF REPORT
FRIDAY 14 AUGUST 2026
DAWN PATROL-MIDDAY
FLAT
Flat. Light N or NW wind early, expected to turn E by midmorning but remains light.
NOTE: Some tiny E/ESE groundswell but wide tide swings have shut it down.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 75-77 degrees (see below for details)
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ADVISORY: Flooding at flood-prone areas likely at high tide.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
ARVO-EVENING
FLAT
1ft ESE groundswell. Light SE wind.
NOTE: Still flat.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 75-77 degrees (see below for details)
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ADVISORY: Flooding at flood-prone areas likely at high tide.
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
WATER TEMP
Water temp: 75-77 degrees*
*ADVISORY: N/A
*Wetsuit: N/A
FORECAST OVERVIEW
LATE WEEK
FLAT
Day 5 of this flat spell continues. Radical tide swings from the recent New Moon,
a poorly positioned jet stream, dominant high pressure directing any system away
from our swell window are just making that worse. There is a small system in the
Western Atlantic throwing a tiny E groundswell toward our region (from a system
just out of range) but radical tide swings have shut most spots down.
WEEKEND
Saturday
FLAT
Flat spell continues but a cell of low pressure enters the Western Atlantic. Tides
remain problematic.
Sunday
FLAT, but...
Another day of flatness and problematic tides, yet watching a cell that is predicted
to strengthen in our window after 11pm. There are no guarantees with this system
and there's a possibility of secondary issues (problematic winds) but it's the first
potential swell-producing system we've seen in over a week.
Check out the 72 Hour Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
NEXT WEEK
Surf Alert
Looking at a modest, enhanced S trade swell event that peaks on Monday from
as the system moves into the Central Atlantic before dawn. This swell peaks
before sunrise then gradually drops through the day as the system moves further
out to sea.
Small surf through midweek but watching for another swell event late week.
Check out the Long Range Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
X-FACTORS
After a few one-day-wonder swell events over the past few weeks, the East Coast
has swung back into a more seasonal period of flat or tiny surf.
Another major factor is the historic El Nino that has affected global weather patterns. This is the strongest El Nino in recorded history, so there is no historical data to rely
on to create accurate predictions.
TROPICAL UPDATE
Tropical Storm Cristobal has formed and dissipated. Currently watching two additional systems in the Atlantic Basin.
Check out the Tropical Update below for details.
Flat all weekend.
New swell builds
on Sunday night.
SATURDAY 15 AUGUST 2026
Flat/Poor
Flat surf. Onshore wind.
NOTE: Wide tide swings. Flat surf. Onshore wind.
ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
HEAT ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Flat. Onshore (NE or E) wind.
NOTE: Poor
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Flat. Onshore (NE or E) wind.
NOTE: Poor
South-facing spots: Flat. Offshore/Sideshore (NE or E) wind.
NOTE: Poor
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
24 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 0-1ft E/ESE groundswell
NOTE: Tiny, tide-sensitive surf.
-
WIND Light NE or E wind.
NOTE: N/A
-
TIDE Radical tide swings shut down surfability
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY N/A
-
HEAT ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
SUNDAY 16 AUGUST 2026
Tiny/Poor/Increasing
0-1ft ESE/SSE combo swell. Moderate but gradually increasing SSE wind.
NOTE: Gradually increasing SSE windswell through the day and overnight.
ADVISORY: Moderate to strong littoral current.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Scattered thunderstorms likely.
HEAT ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Tiny ESE/SSE combo swell. Gradually increasing
sideshore (SSE) wind.
NOTE: Poor but gradually increasing surf.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: Tiny ESE/SSE combo swell. Gradually increasing sideshore (SSE) wind.
NOTE: Poor but gradually increasing surf.
South-facing spots: Tiny ESE/SSE combo swell. Gradually increasing onshore (SSE) wind.
NOTE: Poor but gradually increasing surf.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 0-1ft ESE groundswell and short-period SSE windswell mix
NOTE: S windswell builds all day, increases overnight. Peaks in the 3ft range after midnight.
-
WIND Moderate SSE wind early but gradually increases to 15-20mph by mid to late arvo.
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Gradually increasing south wind. Scattered thunderstorms.
-
HEAT ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Increased littoral and rip currents.
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY N/A
MONDAY 17 AUGUST 2026
Surf Alert
1-3ft short-period SSE windswell. Light WSW wind early, gradually turns W then NW
by midday.
NOTE: S windswell peaks early then gradually drops. Larger further south.
ADVISORY: Moderate littoral and rip currents.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Moderate chance of thunderstorms early.
HEAT ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 1-3ft S windswell early. Light offshore (WSW then NW) wind. Good form.
NOTE: Larger surf in Southern Ocean County. Peaks early then gradually drops.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 2-3ft S windswell. Light offshore (WSW then NW) wind. Good form.
NOTE: Biggest early.
South-facing spots: 1-2ft S windswell. Light-moderate sideshore (WSW) with
with poor form early. Wind turns offshore (NW) by mid to late morning so form
improves.
NOTE:Worth a look after the wind switch.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1-3ft+ short-period trade swell.
-
WIND Light WSW wind early, turns W then NW by midday.
NOTE: Monitor your local wind
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings increase your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Thunderstorms possible early.
-
HEAT ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Moderate littoral and rip currents
-
CROWD ADVISORY Expect crowds, especially at premiere spots and designated surf areas.
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Fish, Performance Midlength or Longboard
MID to LATE WEEK
See Below
Small surf through midweek. Watching for another swell event late week.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
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Small surf through midweek.
Watching late week.
18-21 August 2026
See below
Small S trade swell through midweek. Increased southerly winds and enhanced S
windswell late week. Watching the Tropics for increased activity.
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
An El Nino of unprecedented strength thrown global weather patterns into unknown territory so the next several months will be a head-scratcher for surf and weather
forecasters.
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The Tropics
have awakened
We have entered the Peak of the 2026 Hurricane Season
Friday 14 August 2026
Back to back tropical waves are stacked up across Central Africa and several have entered the Atlantic Basin. These clusters have entered an area that are
conducive for further development yet there are multiple variables such as
dry air, Saharan Dust and strong upper level winds kill developing storms.
Another factor to consider is that if one of these systems does survive, there
are no guarantees that it will track into our window as a swell-producing
system. We can only hope.
All of these variables have been strengthened by the strongest El Nino in measured history so this may end up being one of the least productive seasonin recent history, so any storm that does form and enter our swell window will do
so against tremendous odds.
See below for the details of these current systems.
A. Tropical Storm Cristobal had initially formed as a Tropical Depression 48 hours ago. This strengthened into a tropical storm and was officially named
on Thursday but entered an area of colder water and dry air in the North
Atlantic and dissipated in less than 12 hours.
B. This tropical wave is located approximately 1000 miles west of the Cabo
Verde Islands and currently tracking WNW. This system has been given a
50% chance of development over the next 7 days.
C. The third cluster has entered a hostile area of the Atlantic Basin and has a
low chance (20%) of development as it moves west toward the Dominican Republic.
2026 Predictions
NOAA predicts below-normal 2026 Hurricane Season
With the Super El Nino in effect now, we can expect a less than stellar tropical season. This is because El Nino patterns bring enhanced wind shear in the Atlantic Basin, decapitating most storms at the Equator before they get a chance to develop. See the predictions below.
2026 HURRICANE SEASON PREDICTIONS
13 named storms.
6 hurricanes.
2 major hurricanes. Accurate.
FORECASTERS NOTES
El Nino seasons are usually not great for the US East Coast but it does not
mean that the US East Coast won't see tropical swell activity. For example, systems that move into the Gulf of Mexico then swing northeast into the Atlantic
are fairly common can bring solid surf to our region.
This is certainly a wait-and-see situation. Stay tuned.
RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ) Incomplete data
Weather Maps
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources