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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ

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NJ SURF REPORT
MONDAY 14 SEPTEMBER 2026
DAWN - MIDDAY
Tiny/Poor/Increasing
0-1ft+ E/NE windswell and background ESE groundswell mix. Moderate-strong E wind. Poor form.
NOTE: Flat this morning at high tide. New E windswell builds through the day but remains poor as onshores persist.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 70-72 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ADVISORY: N/A
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
ARVO-EVENING
Small/Increasing
2ft+ short-period ENE/ESE windswell. Light to moderate ESE wind. Wind turns SE then S overnight
NOTE: Surf increases but remains poor
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: N/A
WATER TEMP: 70-72 degrees (see below for details)
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
FLOODING ADVISORY: N/A
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
WATER TEMP
Water temp: 70-72 degrees
*ADVISORY: N/A
*Wetsuit: Keep a springsuit handy
FORECAST OVERVIEW
MID to LATE WEEK
Small
Sustained onshores on Tuesday build a new E windswell on top of the existing
ESE groundswell, so this culminates into a modest, overlapping E/ESE combo
swell on Wednesday. This will be the pattern for the rest of the week. So, with favorable winds (for some areas) early then midday southerlies, this should set
up small SE/ESE trade swell through Friday.
IMPORTANT NOTE: The operative word is SMALL and tide-sensitive, as well as
vulnearble to the midday trade winds so the key will be to hit it early as welll as
keep your expectations low.
Check out the 72 Hour Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
WEEKEND
SURF ALERT?
Watching for another round on Saturday and Sunday as another frontal system
moves across the region. The question remains: Will be wind cooperate?
Check out the Long Range Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
X-FACTORS
The same factors that plagued our region with minimal surf continue today, but
there are signs that the variables are changing so we can expect a period of
transition as those variables shift. In the past, El Nino shuts down the summer
and for a portion of the Fall but historically, things ramp up in the Fall as the
storm track moves further south. This shift would put any storm into the Western
Atlantic in a better position for development and a greater opportunity for surf
as that storm tracks along the East Coast. Fingers crossed.
TROPICAL UPDATE
Watching a new system in the Central Atlantic move toward our window.
Check out the Tropical Update below for details.

Some windows of surfability through
Friday


WEDNESDAY 16 SEPTEMBER 2026
Small/Fair
1-2ft+ ESE/ENE combo swell with light and variable wind early. Wind turns S and
gradually increases by late morning. Small, clean, user-friendly surf early.
NOTE: Form deteriorates with increased midday southerlies and incoming tide
shuts down most spots by mid-late morning.
ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 1-2ft E swell. Locally offshore (WSW) wind early,
turns sideshore (S) and increases by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Hit it early before the wind switch.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 1-2ft E swell. Light and variable wind early, turns sideshore (S) and increases by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Worth a look early before the southerlies smash it.
South-facing spots: 1-2ft E swell. Light & variable wind early, turns onshore (S)
and increases by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Worth a look. Monitor your local wind.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1-2ft+ overlapping ENE/ESE windswell and mid period E groundswell.
NOTE: Small, weak, tide-sensitive but user-friendly surf early.
-
WIND See above for detailed wind data. NOTE: Monitor your local wind
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings (and small surf) limit your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind.
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Longboard
THURSDAY 17 SEPTEMBER 2026
Small/Fair
1-2ft E/SE/ESE combo swell. Light WSW or SW wind early, turns S and gradually increases by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Small, tide sensitive surf. Early morning wind favors spots further north. Hit
it early before the southerlies trash it but keep your expectations low.
ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 1-2ft E/SE swell. Light SW/WSW wind early, turns
sideshore (S) by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Wind direction favors spots further north. Hit it before the wind switch.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 1-2ft E/SE swell. Light sideshore (SW/SSW) wind with fair
form early. Form deteriorates as south wind increases mid to late morning.
NOTE: Keep your expectations low.
South-facing spots: 1-2ft E/SE swell. Light to moderate onshore (SW/WSW)
wind early, increases by mid to late morning.
NOTE: Onshore wind, poor form all day.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1-2ft+ ESE/ENE windswelll and traces of ESE groundswell.
NOTE: Small, peaky, tide-sensitive surf.
-
WIND Light SW or WSW wind early, turns S and increases by mid-late morning
NOTE: Monitor your local wind.
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings (and small surf) limit your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Longboard
FRIDAY 18 SEPTEMBER 2026
Tiny/Fair
1ft+ E/SE windswell leftovers. See below for wind details.
NOTE: Tiny surf with a limited window of surfability.
ADVISORY: N/A
WEATHER ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County Tiny surf. Sideshore (N or NW) wind, turns onshore
(NE) by midday.
NOTE: Poor surf.
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 1ft+ E/SE surf. Offshore (NW or WNW) wind early.
NOTE: Tiny, tide-sensitive surf.
South-facing spots: 1ft+ E/SE surf. Offshore-sideshore (NW or WNW) wind early.
NOTE: Tiny, tide-sensitive surf.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 1ft+ E/SE windswell leftovers.
NOTE: Small, weak, tide-sensitive surf
-
WIND See above for detailed wind data. NOTE: Monitor your local wind
-
TIDE Moderate tide swings (and small surf) limit your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Monitor your local wind.
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY N/A
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Longboard
WEEKEND
SURF ALERT?
New swell builds on Saturday and Sunday. Watching for windows of favorable wind.
Will update this as details become more reliable.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details

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Onshore wind and building swell this weekend


19-20 September 2026
Surf Alert?
Another frontal system passes over the region on Saturday. Onshore wind and
building surf this weekend. Watching for windows of surfability. Stay tuned.
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
El Nino continues to be a major factor
An El Nino of unprecedented strength continues to suppress swell development on
the East Coast. It is also literally transforming our weather in real time. Historical weather and swell patterns are effectively useless and we are seeing an increase
in periods of catastrophic weather, raging wildfires and floods, and this will continue as the El Nino continues to strengthen.
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Watching a new system in the Atlantic


Watching two systems
Tuesday 15 September 2026
1. A tropical wave continues to track across the Central Atlantic, currently 800
miles ESE of Bermuda. While this system has been given a 40% chance of further development over the next 7 days, it's moving WNW and into an area
that could be conducive for further development. If this system strengthens,
it could become the next named storm and will be called Fay.
2. A huge tropical wave has crossed the Cape Verde Islands and entered the
Atlantic Basin last night. While it's too early to make any predictions for this
system, it will be worth monitoring over the next several days.
However, variables such as wind shear from strong upper level winds, dry air and Saharan Dust in the atmosphere above the Atlantic have aligned to kill any developing tropical waves and preventing them from strengthening into stronger, more organized storms are still an issue. All of these factors are being drastically strengthened by the strongest El Nino in recorded history.
Regardless of these variables, I am still monitoring these systems for further strengthening as it runs the gauntlet of the varibles that are trying to kill them.
The primary system could be the very first swell-producing system to develop in the Western Atlantic of the 2026 Hurricane Season. Stay tuned.
2026 Predictions
NOAA predicts below-normal 2026 Hurricane Season
With the Super El Nino in effect now, we can expect a less than stellar tropical season. This is because El Nino patterns bring enhanced wind shear in the Atlantic Basin, decapitating most storms at the Equator before they get a chance to develop. See the predictions below.
2026 HURRICANE SEASON PREDICTIONS
13 named storms.
6 hurricanes.
2 major hurricanes. Accurate.
FORECASTERS NOTES
El Nino seasons are usually not great for the US East Coast but it does not
mean that the US East Coast won't see tropical swell activity. For example, systems that move into the Gulf of Mexico then swing northeast into the Atlantic
are fairly common can bring solid surf to our region.
This is certainly a wait-and-see situation. Stay tuned.


RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ) Incomplete data
44009 (Cape May) Currently offline
US Weather Maps
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources



